This is what it will end up costing YOU all.
The modelling worked on a scenario where Australian automotive manufacturing ended over a two-year period from 2017 to 2018.
Government assistance to automotive manufacturing equates to about $18 per person, deemed a very low figure by international standards. A $21.5 billion return equates to $934 per person in benefit.
If Australia lost its automotive manufacturing:
- GDP would be $7.3 billion smaller (in current dollars) by 2018.
- Billions in foreign direct investment would cease, as head offices directed investment to other automotive manufacturing countries.
- Employment losses in Melbourne would equate to some 33,000 jobs in 2018 and about 6,600 in Adelaide. These jobs would eventually return in both cities, but with lower real wages. The employment levels would not return until about 2027 for Melbourne and 2025 for Adelaide.
- The economies of Adelaide and Melbourne would be heavily affected, with gross regional product (GRP) contracted by up to 1.4 per cent and it is likely GRP will be lower than preclosure levels until the end of 2031, while employment could fall by about 1.5 per cent.
These impacts do not include the spill-over effects, including to advanced manufacturing and research and development.
(Source: Federal Chamber of Automotive Industries report)