General National Weather advice and information
- Thread starter Wishfull
- Start date
Help Support Prospecting Australia:
Jemba said:
I have spoken to the rain gods and it will not rain until Thursday
I think the east coast High will keep it out of Qld.
I recon there's not much we can do about it anyway. Its unusually warm here atm for this time of the year, slight drizzle earlier. Think we might get some weird stuff for the next 4 or 5 days, but there is more coming after that...Yay
So far Dave has been pretty good re those week out forecasts.
Looks like we are in for another wet weekend and potentially even low level snow early next week.
**** NATIONAL VIDEO UPDATE TUESDAY SEPTEMBER 6TH *****
*** FEEL FREE TO SHARE/TAG THIS VIDEO ***
*** MAIN HEADLINES ***
- Strong cold fronts to bring damaging winds to southern parts of WA
- Spring like temps for south eastern Australia
- Strong cold front with heavy rain and storms to batter south eastern Australia later Thursday and Friday, Victoria and Tasmania will feel the most impact.
- Heavy rain Friday likely to exacerbate flooding parts of Victoria, NSW and create some problems in northern Tasmania, snow to follow for the ski resorts. Small hail to follow in the cold air for parts of Victoria and SE SA.
- Another system with very cold air may impact south eastern Australia Sunday til Tuesday next week with low level snow possible
- Trough will move towards NE NSW and SE QLD later Friday and Saturday producing showers and thunderstorms
- Meanwhile moisture and showers will increase parts of the QLD coast next 2-3 days.
Images are provided by Himawari-8 and BSCH via the GFS model.
Looks like we are in for another wet weekend and potentially even low level snow early next week.
**** NATIONAL VIDEO UPDATE TUESDAY SEPTEMBER 6TH *****
*** FEEL FREE TO SHARE/TAG THIS VIDEO ***
*** MAIN HEADLINES ***
- Strong cold fronts to bring damaging winds to southern parts of WA
- Spring like temps for south eastern Australia
- Strong cold front with heavy rain and storms to batter south eastern Australia later Thursday and Friday, Victoria and Tasmania will feel the most impact.
- Heavy rain Friday likely to exacerbate flooding parts of Victoria, NSW and create some problems in northern Tasmania, snow to follow for the ski resorts. Small hail to follow in the cold air for parts of Victoria and SE SA.
- Another system with very cold air may impact south eastern Australia Sunday til Tuesday next week with low level snow possible
- Trough will move towards NE NSW and SE QLD later Friday and Saturday producing showers and thunderstorms
- Meanwhile moisture and showers will increase parts of the QLD coast next 2-3 days.
Images are provided by Himawari-8 and BSCH via the GFS model.
Yep vic and nsw 25 mm coming your way.
Better than drought.
Better than drought.
Over 90% in Hume Weir, wait for the floods in the Murray; GMW's greed $$$ for water sales.
Thanks Dr. Duck.
19 degrees in brissy 0845...Brrrrrrr!!!!
19 degrees in brissy 0845...Brrrrrrr!!!!
The latest from Dave's weather channel.
Looks like we have more wet weather and flooding on the at over the next few weeks.
HEADS UP.. Things are going to get ugly for parts of inland south eastern and eastern Australia next few weeks with more rain falling already on wet terrain and catchments, rain & more rain and could see widespread flooding.
Hi ladies and gents, we know there are still some of you who want rain in QLD, perhaps NSW, few in VIC, some in SA and a few in Tasmania but from the general feed back a lot of people have had plenty last 4 to 5 months which makes this information even more important to read.
We are expecting the wettest September on record for large parts of inland south eastern Australia especially through the Darling-Murray river basin. Why do you think we are thinking this? For starters we are in a negative IOD weather phase which = wet weather for this region, second.. The climate pattern has shifted cos of it with the upper high ridge over the Coral sea instead of northern WA which indicates rain for the southern, central and eastern states, normally the upper high sits over WA but hasn't the last few months... This allows systems and upper troughs to come in easily from the west and north west over southern and eastern OZ.
Third.. We are seeing strong indications by the models the next week to 10 days of more substantial widespread rains across southern and eastern Australia, at this stage we are not going to get into the fine details where and when and how much but what we can say is large parts of SA, central Australia, Victoria, NSW, western and southern inland QLD could see more decent/heavy rainfall already on flooded or saturated areas which is going to make things even worse, there is every chance some parts of south eastern and eastern Australia may experience the worse flooding since the big La Nina of 2010 and 2011 over the next few weeks and next month or so.
This post isn't about exact details at the moment but a MAJOR HEADS UP! We are stuck in a wet phase and have warned people since the start of the year that this would eventually happen this wet phase for eastern and south eastern Australia for the most part and most of us will see decent/substantial or heavy flooding rains the coming weeks.
Meanwhile while this pattern continues for eastern states south west WA continues to see a stable pattern though there is signs of a stronger cold front later this week.
Please keep up to date with all the flood warnings, it is possible by this time next week we may more than double the flooding of the river systems across eastern and south eastern Australia.
More info to come today or Monday with rainfall estimates, when, where etc etc.
Images of the Canadian and European models showing rainfall accumulated estimates the next 10 days, these two models along with other models are all showing a wet trend for central, eastern, south eastern and parts of SA. The third image shows where the upper high ridge is and where it will continue to be located the next couple of weeks.. Northern Coral sea and north QLD which normally isn't the case.. This has been the trend still May.. The negative IOD is largely responsible for this shift.
- JWC
Looks like we have more wet weather and flooding on the at over the next few weeks.
HEADS UP.. Things are going to get ugly for parts of inland south eastern and eastern Australia next few weeks with more rain falling already on wet terrain and catchments, rain & more rain and could see widespread flooding.
Hi ladies and gents, we know there are still some of you who want rain in QLD, perhaps NSW, few in VIC, some in SA and a few in Tasmania but from the general feed back a lot of people have had plenty last 4 to 5 months which makes this information even more important to read.
We are expecting the wettest September on record for large parts of inland south eastern Australia especially through the Darling-Murray river basin. Why do you think we are thinking this? For starters we are in a negative IOD weather phase which = wet weather for this region, second.. The climate pattern has shifted cos of it with the upper high ridge over the Coral sea instead of northern WA which indicates rain for the southern, central and eastern states, normally the upper high sits over WA but hasn't the last few months... This allows systems and upper troughs to come in easily from the west and north west over southern and eastern OZ.
Third.. We are seeing strong indications by the models the next week to 10 days of more substantial widespread rains across southern and eastern Australia, at this stage we are not going to get into the fine details where and when and how much but what we can say is large parts of SA, central Australia, Victoria, NSW, western and southern inland QLD could see more decent/heavy rainfall already on flooded or saturated areas which is going to make things even worse, there is every chance some parts of south eastern and eastern Australia may experience the worse flooding since the big La Nina of 2010 and 2011 over the next few weeks and next month or so.
This post isn't about exact details at the moment but a MAJOR HEADS UP! We are stuck in a wet phase and have warned people since the start of the year that this would eventually happen this wet phase for eastern and south eastern Australia for the most part and most of us will see decent/substantial or heavy flooding rains the coming weeks.
Meanwhile while this pattern continues for eastern states south west WA continues to see a stable pattern though there is signs of a stronger cold front later this week.
Please keep up to date with all the flood warnings, it is possible by this time next week we may more than double the flooding of the river systems across eastern and south eastern Australia.
More info to come today or Monday with rainfall estimates, when, where etc etc.
Images of the Canadian and European models showing rainfall accumulated estimates the next 10 days, these two models along with other models are all showing a wet trend for central, eastern, south eastern and parts of SA. The third image shows where the upper high ridge is and where it will continue to be located the next couple of weeks.. Northern Coral sea and north QLD which normally isn't the case.. This has been the trend still May.. The negative IOD is largely responsible for this shift.
- JWC
I'm sick of rain now Dr Duck, we certainly don't need anymore here.
There's some nice cold air coming up from Antarctica--we might get by the middle of next week in Qld.
Thanks Duck.
Thanks Duck.
Hope everyone is not bored with all this weather stuff.
Latest from John is that we are shaping up
For the biggest system since 2010.
The significance is that 2010 was when we had big floods in NSW, for example when the suspension bridge at Tuena got badly damaged.
What happens this time depends on where the system tracks.
***** PLEASE READ THIS VERY IMPORTANT INFORMATION ****
**** THE BIGGEST & MOST INTENSE SPRING WEATHER SYSTEM ON THE WAY SINCE 2010 TO DUMP HEAVY RAIN, SEVERE STORMS, STRONG WINDS, BLIZZARDS ON THE PEAKS OF THE ALPS, FLOODING POSSIBLE FOR INLAND NSW, PARTS OF VICTORIA, PARTS OF REMOTE SOUTH AUSTRALIA, WESTERN AND SOUTHERN INLAND QLD, CENTRAL AUSTRALIA & POSSIBLY EASTERN AND NORTH EASTERN TASMANIA ****
**** PLEASE SHARE/TAG THIS EXTREMELY IMPORTANT INFORMATION WITH FRIENDS AND FAMILY ****
Hard to believe this thin but long cold front is likely to cause mayhem for some people and will set a chain reaction of nasty weather, heavy rain, flooding, storms, heavy snow on the peaks of the alps, strong winds next few days. More systems with rain will impact central and eastern Australia after this low.
The speckled cold air which we have pointed too will allow the upper trough to strengthen and form into a major low over south eastern Australia Tuesday and Wednesday at this stage over Victoria and move slowly to the east or south east later Wednesday and Thursday into the Tasman sea but not before leaving its mark! With the cold air in the uppers blizzards may fall down to 1400 metres in Victoria and southern NSW.
The system will tap into high moisture from QLD and NSW allowing the trough and low to erupt Tuesday and into Wednesday as it cuts off. Another trough will extend north from the low through NSW and QLD bringing showers, storms and rain as it sweeps east.
Depending how far south the low moves north eastern and eastern Tasmania may also be impacted by this low as some models are diverging on this part, we will keep you updated with this but good to be ready nevertheless.
More rain bands looks likely to sweep central and eastern Australia later this week and into next weekend as more upper troughs move in from WA giving more rain to those who need it and adding more woes to already saturated and flooded regions.
This has the potential to be the wettest Spring week for large parts of central, eastern and south eastern Australia since 2010. It also has the potential to bring the worst floods through inland eastern and south eastern Australia since 2010-2011.
More to come...
Latest from John is that we are shaping up
For the biggest system since 2010.
The significance is that 2010 was when we had big floods in NSW, for example when the suspension bridge at Tuena got badly damaged.
What happens this time depends on where the system tracks.
***** PLEASE READ THIS VERY IMPORTANT INFORMATION ****
**** THE BIGGEST & MOST INTENSE SPRING WEATHER SYSTEM ON THE WAY SINCE 2010 TO DUMP HEAVY RAIN, SEVERE STORMS, STRONG WINDS, BLIZZARDS ON THE PEAKS OF THE ALPS, FLOODING POSSIBLE FOR INLAND NSW, PARTS OF VICTORIA, PARTS OF REMOTE SOUTH AUSTRALIA, WESTERN AND SOUTHERN INLAND QLD, CENTRAL AUSTRALIA & POSSIBLY EASTERN AND NORTH EASTERN TASMANIA ****
**** PLEASE SHARE/TAG THIS EXTREMELY IMPORTANT INFORMATION WITH FRIENDS AND FAMILY ****
Hard to believe this thin but long cold front is likely to cause mayhem for some people and will set a chain reaction of nasty weather, heavy rain, flooding, storms, heavy snow on the peaks of the alps, strong winds next few days. More systems with rain will impact central and eastern Australia after this low.
The speckled cold air which we have pointed too will allow the upper trough to strengthen and form into a major low over south eastern Australia Tuesday and Wednesday at this stage over Victoria and move slowly to the east or south east later Wednesday and Thursday into the Tasman sea but not before leaving its mark! With the cold air in the uppers blizzards may fall down to 1400 metres in Victoria and southern NSW.
The system will tap into high moisture from QLD and NSW allowing the trough and low to erupt Tuesday and into Wednesday as it cuts off. Another trough will extend north from the low through NSW and QLD bringing showers, storms and rain as it sweeps east.
Depending how far south the low moves north eastern and eastern Tasmania may also be impacted by this low as some models are diverging on this part, we will keep you updated with this but good to be ready nevertheless.
More rain bands looks likely to sweep central and eastern Australia later this week and into next weekend as more upper troughs move in from WA giving more rain to those who need it and adding more woes to already saturated and flooded regions.
This has the potential to be the wettest Spring week for large parts of central, eastern and south eastern Australia since 2010. It also has the potential to bring the worst floods through inland eastern and south eastern Australia since 2010-2011.
More to come...
Thanks to the harbinger of wet doom. I'm over it! Global warming or global wetting?
The latest update from john's weather channel.
Speechless! We have been banging on about this for a week now about these four systems! Two of them have happened or are happening! Another two to come!
**** PLEASE SHARE/TAG THIS VERY IMPORTANT INFORMATION AS MORE RAIN IS FORECAST TO FALL IN FLOODED REGIONS FOR EASTERN AND SOUTH EASTERN AUSTRALIA ****
SYSTEM NO ONE: (Tuesday September 13th til Thursday September 15th): Impacted most of south eastern Australia bringing historic flooding to the Adelaide hills and wettest September period in 90 years in parts of Victoria with widespread flooding it has also has produced substantial rainfall in parts of Tasmania.
SYSTEM NO TWO: (Tuesday September 13th til Friday September 16th) This one is concentrated in southern QLD and western QLD as well as far northern NSW. It has already produced 60-70mm over parts of Charleville as well as heavy falls (arounf the 50mm mark) over parts of northern NSW. It has cut off roads in parts in remote QLD and produced thunderstorms and rain in remote parts of the NT.
SYSTEM NO THREE: (Friday September 16th til Monday September 19th) This diagram pretty much self explains it... Another upper trough with a low will move through southern and south eastern inland Australia during this period with plenty of moisture coming down from the NT into the system... Its impacts? More rain for most of NSW, western and southern QLD, large parts of SA, Tasmania and parts of Victoria. Remote regions of SA, QLD and NSW should see the heaviest falls. More flood problems!!
SYSTEM NOT FOUR: The models vary with this system but the most reliable model EC model continues to paint the same picture which is ANOTHER CUT OFF LOW will develop thanks to a strong cold front that moves through southern WA late Sunday September 18th and early Monday September 19th, the system will continue to move east grab onto a heap of moisture from the NT and produce widespread rain and storms from SA, NT, QLD, NSW and possibly VIC and TAS if this eventuates the way this model paints it.. There will be major consequences due to flooding! We could well be seeing the wettest September on record for many places for eastern Australia.
We will continue to keep you updated as this once in a 10-20 years event unfolds.
Speechless! We have been banging on about this for a week now about these four systems! Two of them have happened or are happening! Another two to come!
**** PLEASE SHARE/TAG THIS VERY IMPORTANT INFORMATION AS MORE RAIN IS FORECAST TO FALL IN FLOODED REGIONS FOR EASTERN AND SOUTH EASTERN AUSTRALIA ****
SYSTEM NO ONE: (Tuesday September 13th til Thursday September 15th): Impacted most of south eastern Australia bringing historic flooding to the Adelaide hills and wettest September period in 90 years in parts of Victoria with widespread flooding it has also has produced substantial rainfall in parts of Tasmania.
SYSTEM NO TWO: (Tuesday September 13th til Friday September 16th) This one is concentrated in southern QLD and western QLD as well as far northern NSW. It has already produced 60-70mm over parts of Charleville as well as heavy falls (arounf the 50mm mark) over parts of northern NSW. It has cut off roads in parts in remote QLD and produced thunderstorms and rain in remote parts of the NT.
SYSTEM NO THREE: (Friday September 16th til Monday September 19th) This diagram pretty much self explains it... Another upper trough with a low will move through southern and south eastern inland Australia during this period with plenty of moisture coming down from the NT into the system... Its impacts? More rain for most of NSW, western and southern QLD, large parts of SA, Tasmania and parts of Victoria. Remote regions of SA, QLD and NSW should see the heaviest falls. More flood problems!!
SYSTEM NOT FOUR: The models vary with this system but the most reliable model EC model continues to paint the same picture which is ANOTHER CUT OFF LOW will develop thanks to a strong cold front that moves through southern WA late Sunday September 18th and early Monday September 19th, the system will continue to move east grab onto a heap of moisture from the NT and produce widespread rain and storms from SA, NT, QLD, NSW and possibly VIC and TAS if this eventuates the way this model paints it.. There will be major consequences due to flooding! We could well be seeing the wettest September on record for many places for eastern Australia.
We will continue to keep you updated as this once in a 10-20 years event unfolds.
