If this forecast for next week is accurate!
https://higginsstormchasing.com/massive-winter-storm-hit-australia-next-week/
https://higginsstormchasing.com/massive-winter-storm-hit-australia-next-week/
Batten down the hatches
- Thread starter DrDuck
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Thanks DrDuck. You're a true harbinger of joy (for ducks) 
Queensland... Beautiful one Day Perfect the Next.... except Cyclone Season... but I Do miss a log fire...
LW...
LW...
It's interesting, there is a general consensus on the Weatherzone Forums that Higgins tends to over hype such events, and that the latest model runs don't support the Higgins scenario.
A couple of days ago, John's Weather Channel on FB posted the following commentary.
There are reports of a "Large Winter Storm" for south eastern Australia possibly coming next week in some circles.. Let's just say there is a HECK of a lot to play out if this does occur.
WHAT WE KNOW??
- A cold front is likely to surge up from the Great Australia Bight and possibly cut off into a low somewhere from South Australia or all the way out in the Tasman sea Monday/Tuesday June 5th/6th.
- The system is likely to move slowly north then east into the Tasman sea
- The system is expected to be large/broad but unfortunately tropical moisture will be limited with this system so we ARE NOT expecting widespread rainfall across south eastern and eastern Australia, rainfall will be patchy at best but with cold air cold air thunderstorms and hail is possible but will also be patchy.
WHAT IS UNCERTAIN?
- Where the low and front cut off and direction it takes will determine where and if any snow falls so the alps in Vic and NSW could see 30-50cms but it can easily see 0-10cms especially if the low develops over SA and peaks over SA as the airmass will warm once it approaches the alpine regions or if the front and low is weak and peaks well out in the Tasman sea.
- The intensity of the low
Yes there is a front and low that will come through next week somewhere over southern or south eastern Australia but trying to guess snowfalls if any falls at all is ridiculous this far out as 5-6 scenarios can still pan out.. Where it cuts off, how strong the system will be, what region the low heads will determine who gets what type of weather! There is still some chance (lower one) that the low may not even occur at all.
As you can see models are spitting out different scenarios and location of where this low will peak so where it peaks is where the worst of the weather will be/coldest weather. They all agree the low will develop and cut off but no agreement whatsoever of where it goes and peaks.
I think it is a sign of advancing age that I am getting more interested in weather and weather forecasting!
A couple of days ago, John's Weather Channel on FB posted the following commentary.
There are reports of a "Large Winter Storm" for south eastern Australia possibly coming next week in some circles.. Let's just say there is a HECK of a lot to play out if this does occur.
WHAT WE KNOW??
- A cold front is likely to surge up from the Great Australia Bight and possibly cut off into a low somewhere from South Australia or all the way out in the Tasman sea Monday/Tuesday June 5th/6th.
- The system is likely to move slowly north then east into the Tasman sea
- The system is expected to be large/broad but unfortunately tropical moisture will be limited with this system so we ARE NOT expecting widespread rainfall across south eastern and eastern Australia, rainfall will be patchy at best but with cold air cold air thunderstorms and hail is possible but will also be patchy.
WHAT IS UNCERTAIN?
- Where the low and front cut off and direction it takes will determine where and if any snow falls so the alps in Vic and NSW could see 30-50cms but it can easily see 0-10cms especially if the low develops over SA and peaks over SA as the airmass will warm once it approaches the alpine regions or if the front and low is weak and peaks well out in the Tasman sea.
- The intensity of the low
Yes there is a front and low that will come through next week somewhere over southern or south eastern Australia but trying to guess snowfalls if any falls at all is ridiculous this far out as 5-6 scenarios can still pan out.. Where it cuts off, how strong the system will be, what region the low heads will determine who gets what type of weather! There is still some chance (lower one) that the low may not even occur at all.
As you can see models are spitting out different scenarios and location of where this low will peak so where it peaks is where the worst of the weather will be/coldest weather. They all agree the low will develop and cut off but no agreement whatsoever of where it goes and peaks.
I think it is a sign of advancing age that I am getting more interested in weather and weather forecasting!
Why not DrDuck, The Weather is quite interesting when you get into it..... Especially up here in QLD when it's Cyclone Season.... Funny how this info you have posted is opposite to what Bom is saying.... I only use Bom for it's Radar now... Higgins and JWC are far more accurate than 'Other' Predictions..... :Y:
LW...
LW...
Yep, LW, I find John very accurate, compared to BOM, although the BOM Meteye is a useful product to get an idea of conditions at prospecting locations like Tuena, which don't get specific forecasts.
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I got a weather meter made for shooting that logs all the info over the months, Clever gizmo but not cheap thou, I also have a watch that records the past 4 days but both of them show when the weather is going to be bad,
for years I use to log what the weather was doing in winter time but not any more,
John.
for years I use to log what the weather was doing in winter time but not any more,
John.
I also like this one.. I mainly use this for Glen Innes and Emmaville Districts......
http://ozforecast.com.au/cgi-bin/weather.cgi?station=Emmaville.NSW&radar ... :Y:
http://ozforecast.com.au/cgi-bin/weather.cgi?station=Emmaville.NSW&radar ... :Y:
Thanks LW, that's a useful link.
And very Accurate too...DrDuck.... I like the idea that you get Currant Temps, Rainfall, Wind ect on areas around your search area too.... In the Colum of rainfall predictions, next to your Temp, you get Different Model Predictions, so gives you more of an idea on what to expect.... :Y:
LW...
LW...
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If you really want up to date weather info then these are the best and they are 100% portable, I found them via the US Military years ago, They are used by Deck crews on Aircraft Carriers, Snipers to Formula 1 Racing, Farming etc There is even a Fire Fighters Model Too. They even make a portable weather Vane that they slot in to and can record up to 10,000 bits of Data over any given period selected by the user, and they have Software for PC use and the Gizmo it's self are Bluetooth that works up to 100ft away,
PS, There is a Dealer in OZ and I do have the contact details if anyone wants it,
http://www.nkhome.com/kestrel?r=browse-all&k=kestrel
Here are the weather meters,
http://www.nkhome.com/kestrel-products/all-meters/
On this page are the Accessories which include the weather vane Attachment etc,
http://www.nkhome.com/kestrel-products/kestrel-accessories
Hope this helps.
John.
PS, There is a Dealer in OZ and I do have the contact details if anyone wants it,
http://www.nkhome.com/kestrel?r=browse-all&k=kestrel
Here are the weather meters,
http://www.nkhome.com/kestrel-products/all-meters/
On this page are the Accessories which include the weather vane Attachment etc,
http://www.nkhome.com/kestrel-products/kestrel-accessories
Hope this helps.
John.
- Joined
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Yep me too, I love watching Thunder storms,
